Obama Stimulus Package

The Obama stimulus package has now been signed into law.

This is the last of the Western Worlds credit being thrown at the US public sector on infrastructure works, and on tax rebates to America's poorest.

Obama's gamble, like Gordon Browns, is kind of like pumping hundreds of pounds into a fruit machine, losing, and then borrowing hundreds more from a friend to win some back. When that eventually has gone you borrow some more from the local thugs that you never really got along with; knowing full well in your heart and in your gut that the chances are very unlikely of paying the thugs back, let alone your friend. You just hope that your friend recognises that you are trying, and that they will see that as more important than actually getting their money back.

Unfortunately this stimulus package is unlikely to stimulate anything more than Mrs Obama's temperature tonight; so we might as well all start packing canned goods away as the clock is now ticking on a real financial meltdown. In ten to twelve weeks, when the "credit crunch" has not gone away and the tax payers of the US and the UK owe hundred of billions more than we did a year ago for the benefit of politicians headlines the real measures required to rescue the global economy will have to begin. This will start with, a massive rolling back of the frontiers of the state, most especially in the UK.

Hopefully, not to long afterwards we can have a General Election and boot our useless bunch out. The Americans have only just got their socialist into office, so they will be stuck with a few more years over soundbites and dodgy smiles.

We will all, of course, be much poorer for the benefit of yet again trying, and failing to impose a grand socialist government upon the UK.

Only the British would be stupid enough to bring them back into power in another 10 or 15 years.

Effing Bankers

The Government has today announced that it is to roll out an insurance scheme for the banks to encourage them to start lending more to people. This is being offered by the Government (in case you missed it) after banks lent too much to people who can not afford to repay it. As people now have no money left, and a significant chunk of the population now owes as much as they could possibly hope to pay off; Gordon Brown and Alastair Darling have decided that the Government should "do something".

On the same day that the insurance scheme is announced, RBS announced that they are in a little bit more trouble that was initially realised, certainly more than Gordon Brown knew about when he handed over £20bn in capital a few weeks ago.

RBS purchased another bank a few years ago called ABN Amro. This bank had also lent a lot of money that people can not afford to repay. They helpfully lent what now extends to £2.5bn of credit to a Russian Chap with a big impressive chemicals business. Unfortunately that chap can no longer afford to keep the company going so it will probably go to the wall and default on the loan. But don't worry, the British Tax Payer can pick up the bill. No, not because the treasury coffers are over flowing; but because the Chancellor knows some Asian fellas that are prepared to lend us a few quid to bail out these defaulting loans. I am not sure what the rate of interest is, but what the hell, we will not be paying them back anyway - the IMF will have take care of that for us, we can worry about paying the IMF back later.

Perhaps I have unrealistic expectations of elected officials and Government in general. Maybe, I have watch just a few too many episodes of the West Wing, or not enough of Yes Minister. Something inside me says, this is all completely wrong. Wrong, wrong, wrong! Mr Brown, this credit crunch has not come about because of a lack of regulation, it is because we had bad regulation. You have not ended boom and bust, you have exaggerated it.

I wish someone could explain to me where this Government is authorised to borrow and spend, and spend and borrow in such a reckless fashion. Was this in the Labour Party Manifesto? Has Parliament debated the two separate bail outs? Has the chancellor been on ITV, BBC, SKY News taking calls from members of the public and addressing their concerns? I don't recall the national debate about the UK taxpayer covering UK banks defaulting foreign loans. We have a Democratic Deficit.

Some bankers have made off with £millions in bonuses. Were they acting illegally? I can only assume not. Otherwise the government would have launched an investigation and would be bringing these thieves and crooks to justice. Not just in the courts, but in the newspapers and TV news. Why has this not happened? Because they were not acting outside of the law.

So what is the government going to do when pumping £billions more into the system fails to lure indebted Brits further into debt (and thus kick starting a boom cycle, that Brown insists that no longer exists?) Borrow more money?

The government needs to be more pragmatic in it's approach to this crisis. By covering the debts of negligence that far transcends economic sense, the Government is covering for those poor investment decisions. They have nationalised the failures of the banking system. How many Banking heads have rolled? None. How many tellers, and branch assistance have lost their jobs? Loads. Is this right? No, it is not. The decision makers made the mistakes, they are keeping their jobs and the tax payer is funding it.

I think Interest rates need to come back up a little. UK banks need to attract deposits from abroad. Savers in the UK should not be unduly punished. We also need to avoid another surge of poorly secured credit on the first sign of economic recovery.

The Bank of England should be granted emergency powers to investigate all deals over £100m (or at a value deemed appropriate, and practical by the BoE) that is now on the Governments portfolio to see if those loans were based on sound financial decision making. If not then legal action should be considered by the government against the banks, and from the banks against the employees that made them. The Government can not keep maintaining that bankers were greedy and made errors if no one can be found to have fallen outside of the regulations.

Those toxic debts should be targeted, and identified. I am not sure if a Government Toxic Bank should be set up, but if these bad investments are identified, then it might not require a Government solution. Solvent banks and financial institutions might help struggling banks, with compensation of insurance. Certainly the Government should be looking for the banks to write down a share of the debts, at their loss, rather than propping up the whole rotten system.

The FSA should be culled and regulatory powers handed back to the BoE and the Treasury. The BoE must then openly report on the banking sector in the UK, and be charged with improving confidence in the UK financial sector.

Some of the money being offered into bailout schemes should instead be offered in entrepreneurial grants to companies that have a chance of getting a foothold in the emerging Asian markets, such as China and India... I am talking about small and midsized companies with UK based staff and management who are trading in sound products and emerging technologies. Our economy needs cach from the East, and we need companies creating new jobs.

The Government should also reduce the size of the State, to reduce the burden upon the tax payer. Can we go onpaying for big Government AND big Government debts? I don't think so.

I am not economist and I am not a banker. You may not agree with any, or all of the above, nor may the Government. I am, however, a tax payer, and I have not been consulted in how my tax money is being spent, or on my concerns for the future tax burden on me and my family. And that is what has annoyed me most of all.